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After Kosovo—What Then?

Now that the alliance, while celebrating its 50th anniversary, has used its troops to help resolve another nation's internal problems, which country will be next?

by Melvin Rhodes

In hindsight, wars are often turning points in world history. They alter the balance of power, boundaries are redrawn, leaders are replaced and peoples are uprooted. As it has been throughout history so it will be with Kosovo. Perceptions take time to change, but there will be significant changes over Kosovo.

Clear signals have been sent by allies America and Britain that ground troops will likely not be used in future conflicts, except in short minor wars. This could have grave consequences and not only in the immediate situation. Imagine if, in World War II, Churchill and Roosevelt had stated at the onset of hostilities that they would not use ground troops in their attempt to defeat the Axis powers. The reluctance to use ground forces was compounded by announcements on both sides of the Atlantic that they would not be used-sending a message to Serbia's leadership that there was a limit to what the NATO alliance would do to try to defeat them. Lessons from the last conflict in the Balkans seem to have been lost-it wasn't western air power that defeated the Bosnian Serbs against the Moslems earlier this decade, but Croatian ground forces helped by allied air power.

Television has made ground wars less likely as public opinion could not stomach the nightly coverage of carnage and of body bags arriving back on home soil. Opinion among voters is always fickle with people quickly changing their minds on the issues of the day. This has long been the case, predating television. In 1876 public opinion in Britain was antagonistic toward the Turks after atrocities they committed against the people of Bosnia-Herzegovina, (the scene of more atrocities earlier this decade at the hands of Serbia's present leadership). Less than two years later the same public was supporting the Turks against the Russians who had come to the aid of their Slav brothers in the Balkans. A former British Foreign Secretary wondered at the time how any democratic government could possibly have a foreign policy "if within 18 months the great majority of them are found asking for things which are directly contradictory."

Read the full article at www.wnponline.org/wnp/wnp9905/index.htm


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